Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 15.880726 18.041003 20.495383 23.513298 27.155897 31.451463 36.961845
2025-07-20 13.397333 16.189108 19.643511 24.314243 30.596611 38.956460 51.287962
2025-07-27 11.458232 14.375171 18.180266 23.649382 31.560438 43.023291 61.794013
2025-08-03 10.558236 13.682647 17.951591 24.435029 34.470680 50.262620 79.027165
2025-08-10 9.541367 12.664996 17.083361 24.083071 35.511818 54.747649 93.122523
2025-08-17 8.726173 11.819943 16.327279 23.734708 36.416970 59.119573 108.522526
2025-08-24 8.092771 11.162383 15.755267 23.561513 37.534086 64.075860 127.093397
2025-08-31 7.458698 10.438213 14.993161 22.951119 37.733319 67.275294 143.066386
2025-09-07 6.989797 9.921497 14.498946 22.718350 38.569880 71.959320 165.063296
2025-09-14 6.419139 9.199610 13.604006 21.663811 37.621793 72.524385 176.036648
2025-09-21 5.900496 8.523769 12.729129 20.547412 36.375049 72.128984 184.090188
2025-09-28 5.528096 8.057669 12.168062 19.948982 36.109992 74.025498 200.792749
2025-10-05 5.669090 8.448968 13.121515 22.381227 42.934714 96.292313 311.056245
2025-10-12 5.526710 8.357097 13.221619 23.162227 46.257637 110.712142 410.023126
2025-10-19 5.199288 7.925833 12.670730 22.537109 46.071164 114.621318 462.659130
2025-10-26 5.082996 7.849890 12.763025 23.273617 49.462326 131.507963 620.709768
2025-11-02 4.841605 7.537623 12.385456 22.943780 49.997286 138.915792 732.326231
2025-11-09 4.620708 7.248048 12.028347 22.617217 50.484112 146.468886 865.766537
2025-11-16 4.436137 7.012564 11.757544 22.454821 51.411078 156.307683 1053.313712
2025-11-23 4.220222 6.708086 11.329904 21.882283 51.037347 160.680531 1200.256468
2025-11-30 4.057633 6.492665 11.064130 21.663865 51.697776 170.076092 1456.934318
2025-12-07 3.826194 6.138890 10.499305 20.673741 49.804110 166.901239 1518.329150
2025-12-14 3.602496 5.790614 9.928199 19.624438 47.584534 161.515251 1533.220911